Imagine that you are the safety division manager of a factory of 60 workers. There are two emergency action plans in case of poisonous chemical leakage which can kill all the workers. Which plan do you choose?
Answer
If plan A is adopted, 15 workers of those anticipated to die will die.
If plan B is adopted, there is a three-fourths probability that none of those anticipated to die will die and a one-fourth probability that 60 workers will still die.
Question 2
Question
Imagine that you are the president of a developing country with 100 million population. Your country is facing a severe threat from an unknown virus that can wipe out all the people of your country. There are two available health plans. Which one do you choose?
Answer
If plan A is adopted, 25 million people of those anticipated to die will die.
If plan B is adopted, there is a three-fourths probability that none of those anticipated to die will die and a one-fourth probability that 100 million people will still die.